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Industrial Rent Growth Vs Costs Calculator
Industrial enjoyed strong rent growth 2020-23; operating costs track partially.
NOI growth %
0.29%
Final NOI PSF
$11.33
Initial NOI PSF
$8.80
How the math works
Final rent = base × (1+growth)^yrs. Final op = base × (1+growth)^yrs. NOI growth over period.
$12 × 1.05^5 = $15.32 rent − $3.2 × 1.045^5 = $3.99 op = $11.33 NOI vs $8.8 initial = 28.7% growth.
How to Use
- Enter baseline rent PSF.
- Enter annual rent growth %.
- Enter baseline op cost PSF.
- Enter annual op cost growth %.
- Enter years.
- Read NOI growth.
Frequently Asked Questions
Recent trends?
2020-23: industrial rent grew 15-30% cumulatively. 2024: moderating to 3-5%. 2025+: 2-4% stable expected. Port-proximate sub-markets outperform; interior markets moderate. Class A vs Class B diverges.
Operating cost drivers?
Property tax (often 2-4% annual growth). Insurance (6-10% growth 2022-24). Utilities (variable). Repairs (3-5%). Admin fees. Security. Landscaping. Each category tracks different inflation drivers.
NOI margin?
Industrial is very expense-efficient: 65-75% NOI margin on rent. Compare office 45-55%, multi 55-65%. Margins compressed 2022-24 as taxes and insurance outpaced rent growth. Returning to equilibrium 2025+.
What documentation matters here?
Written leases, move-in/move-out inspections with photographs, ledger entries showing every payment and charge, served notices with proof of service, and contemporaneous emails or texts. Courts weigh written evidence heavily; informal understandings rarely stand. Institutional operators run a monthly file audit to catch gaps before they matter. Good paper trails recover most of what's owed.
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