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Renewal Downtime Cost Calculator

Non-renewing a below-market tenant has real downtime cost. This calculator runs the math.

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Net retention value

$2,492

Vacancy cost

$5,192

Annual rent upside

$2,700

How the math works

Annual upside = (market − current) × 12. Vacancy cost = daily market × vacant days + turn + commission. Net retention = vacancy cost − upside; positive = retain, negative = non-renew.

Amortize vacancy cost over two years, not one, when the turn enables 3+ years of market rent. Most pro-retention calculators are biased because they pit one month of turn against one year of upside; the right frame is one-time turn against the full remaining tenure.

How to Use

  1. Enter current rent (being renewed at).
  2. Enter market rent (achievable on turn).
  3. Enter turn cost (paint, clean, make-ready).
  4. Enter vacant days expected.
  5. Enter leasing commission.
  6. Read net retention value (negative = non-renew).

Frequently Asked Questions

When to non-renew?

When market rent × (1 − vacancy share) − turn cost − commission > current rent × 12. Practically: gap must exceed 10-15% of current rent to overcome turn economics. Small gaps (2-5%) rarely justify turn.

Hidden retention cost?

Ongoing below-market rent compounds. 5% below-market for 3 more years = 15% cumulative NOI drag, often more than one turn would have cost. Amortize retention cost over the likely additional tenancy.

Tenant quality?

Numbers ignore behavioral factors: good tenants (no damage, timely pay, low maintenance) are worth 20-40% retention discount versus market. Bad tenants should non-renew even at above-market rent.

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