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Renewal Downtime Cost Calculator
Non-renewing a below-market tenant has real downtime cost. This calculator runs the math.
Net retention value
$2,492
Vacancy cost
$5,192
Annual rent upside
$2,700
How the math works
Annual upside = (market − current) × 12. Vacancy cost = daily market × vacant days + turn + commission. Net retention = vacancy cost − upside; positive = retain, negative = non-renew.
Amortize vacancy cost over two years, not one, when the turn enables 3+ years of market rent. Most pro-retention calculators are biased because they pit one month of turn against one year of upside; the right frame is one-time turn against the full remaining tenure.
How to Use
- Enter current rent (being renewed at).
- Enter market rent (achievable on turn).
- Enter turn cost (paint, clean, make-ready).
- Enter vacant days expected.
- Enter leasing commission.
- Read net retention value (negative = non-renew).
Frequently Asked Questions
When to non-renew?
When market rent × (1 − vacancy share) − turn cost − commission > current rent × 12. Practically: gap must exceed 10-15% of current rent to overcome turn economics. Small gaps (2-5%) rarely justify turn.
Hidden retention cost?
Ongoing below-market rent compounds. 5% below-market for 3 more years = 15% cumulative NOI drag, often more than one turn would have cost. Amortize retention cost over the likely additional tenancy.
Tenant quality?
Numbers ignore behavioral factors: good tenants (no damage, timely pay, low maintenance) are worth 20-40% retention discount versus market. Bad tenants should non-renew even at above-market rent.
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