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Occupancy Recovery Duration Calculator
Recovering to target occupancy after a dislocation takes months. This calculator sizes the window.
Months to target
8 mo
Units to lease
30.5
Current occupancy %
74.7%
How the math works
Units to lease = target units − currently occupied. Months = units ÷ net absorption.
Track net absorption weekly during recovery, not monthly. Weekly cadence spots concession slippage early, while monthly reporting lets a 0.5 unit/month pace erosion hide for 90 days — the difference between a six-month and twelve-month recovery.
How to Use
- Enter current occupied units.
- Enter total units.
- Enter target occupancy %.
- Enter monthly net absorption.
- Read months to target.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why recovery is slow?
Net absorption = move-ins minus move-outs. During dislocation, move-outs spike and move-ins dip simultaneously — net pace halves or turns negative. Recovery requires both sides to normalize, which typically takes 2-4 quarters.
Sensitivity?
A 2-unit/month acceleration on a 150-unit building compresses recovery by ~6 months on a 20-point gap. Small pace changes compound — worth every dollar of marketing, brokerage bonus, or concession to lift net absorption 1-2 units/month.
Pitfalls?
Managers report gross absorption and ignore move-outs, hiding the net picture. Always track occupancy week-over-week and compute implied net pace — gross can look healthy while net drifts flat or negative.
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