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Lease Renewal vs Turnover Calculator

Renewing a known-good tenant below market looks generous — until you compare it with turnover after vacancy, make-ready, and leasing commission. This calculator shows the 12-month net on both sides so you can make the decision on dollars, not feelings.

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Half-month typical

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Cash, upgrade, or cap

Renewal net income

$24,350

Turnover net income

$19,127

Turnover cost total

$4,943

Rent lost during vacancy

$1,843

Monthly rent pickup vs renewal

$125

Turnover − renewal

-$5,223

Positive favors turning over

Months to recover turnover cost

3 yr 4 mo

How the math works

Landlords face this every lease cycle: renew a solid tenant below market, or turn the unit to capture market rent and eat a month of vacancy plus make-ready. The math is simple — if the net income over 12 months is higher on the turn side even after costs, turn. If it isn't, renewal with a modest increase plus a small incentive almost always wins.

Rules of thumb: retaining a tenant saves roughly 1 month of rent in combined vacancy and make-ready. If market is less than ~8% above the renewal offer, renewal usually wins. Beyond that threshold, turning over makes sense — but only if you have a high-demand unit and fast re-lease. Always compute on your actual vacancy days, not a market average.

How to Use

  1. Enter the current rent and the renewal rent you'd offer.
  2. Enter the market rent if you turn over.
  3. Estimate vacancy days based on your submarket.
  4. Enter make-ready, leasing commission, and marketing costs.
  5. Add any renewal incentive (credit, upgrade, rent cap).
  6. Set your comparison horizon, usually 12 months.

Frequently Asked Questions

What's the rule of thumb?

If the market rent is less than about 8-10% above the renewal offer, renewing usually wins. Above that, turnover math starts to pencil — but only with fast vacancy and controlled make-ready.

Should I discount renewal rent below market?

Usually yes, by 3-7%. A small discount keeps a performing tenant, avoids vacancy, and preserves optionality. Renewal is cheaper than turnover in most markets.

What's a reasonable renewal incentive?

One to two months of the rent increase. A $75/month increase can be sweetened with a $150-$300 credit or a minor upgrade. It keeps renewal feeling like a win for the tenant.

How do I handle below-market long-term tenants?

Incremental increases — 3-5% annually — work better than one big jump that triggers turnover. A tenant 20% below market is a future turnover problem if you don't close the gap slowly.

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